Publications

Research interests

Decision Sciences/Behavioral Operations: Individual and group decision making under risk and uncertainty; judgmental forecasting; human-machine interactions.

Publications (refereed)

Journal Articles
  • Seifert, M. & Somasundaram, J. (2025). Forecasting the Daily US COVID-19 Death Toll: Counterfactual Thinking Deteriorates Judgmental Performance. Communications Medicine (Nature Portfolio) (forthcoming).
  • Fildes, R., Goodwin, P., Bolger, F., Harvey, N. & Seifert, M. (2025). Introduction to the Special Issue on Judgment in Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, Special Issue on Judgment in Forecasting (forthcoming).
  • Narayanan, P., Somasundaram, J. & Seifert, M. (2024). Risk-averse algorithmic support and inventory management. European Journal of Operational Research (forthcoming).
  • Lee, Y. S., Ku, M. & Seifert, M. (2024). Investigating laypeople’s short- and long-term forecasts of COVID-19 infection cycles. International Journal of Forecasting, Special Issue on Judgment in Forecasting (forthcoming).
  • Fišar, M., Greiner, B., Huber, C., Katok, E., Ozkes, A., and the Management Science Reproducibility Collaboration (2024). Reproducibility in Management Science. Management Science (FT50, UT Dallas List) 70 (3), 1343-1356. Note: Member of the Management Science Reproducibility Collaboration.
  • Revilla, E., Saenz, M. & Seifert, M. (2023). Human-AI Collaboration in Prediction. A Field Experiment in the Retail Industry. Journal of Management Information Systems (forthcoming).
  • Grossmann, I., Rotella, A. M., Hutcherson, C., Sharpinskyi, C., Varnum, M. E. W., PhD, Achter, S., […], Seifert, M., […], and Wilkening, T. (2022). Insights into accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change. Nature Human Behavior , 7(4).
  • Seifert, M., Ulu, C. & Guha, S. (2022). Decision Making Under Impending Regime Shifts. Management Science, (articles in advance).
  • Lyubykh, Z, Gulseren, D., Turner, N., Barling, J. & Seifert, M. (2022). Shared Transformational Leadership and Safety Behaviors of Employees, Leaders, and Teams: A Multilevel Investigation”, Journal of Occupational and Organizational Psychology, 95(2).
  • Waymire Paine, J., Federspiel, F., Seifert, M. & Zou, X. (2020). Regulatory Focus and Risk Taking Behavior following Near Miss Events, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 33(4).
  • Heinrich, T., Seifert, M. & Then, F. (2020). Near-losses in Insurance Markets: An Experiment, Economics Letters, 186.
  • Seifert, M., Brockner J., Bianchi, E. & Moon, H. (2016). How Workplace Fairness affects Employee Commitment, MIT Sloan Management Review, 57(2).
  • Seifert, M., Siemsen, E., Hadida, A. & Eisingerich, A. (2015). Effective Judgmental Forecasting in the Context of Fashion Products, Journal of Operations Management, 36.
  • Seifert, M., Siemsen, E., Hadida, A. & Eisingerich, A. (2015). When to forget the Review Mirror. Harvard Business Review, 93(6).
  • Bianchi, E., Brockner, J., Van den Bos, K., Seifert, M., Moon, H., von Dijke, M. & De Cremer, D. (2015). Trust in Decision-Making Authorities Dictates the Form of the Interactive Relationship between Outcome and Procedural Fairness, Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 41(1).
  • Seifert, M. & Hadida, A. (2013). 3 Humans + 1 Computer = Best Prediction, Harvard Business Review, 91(5).
  • Seifert, M. & Hadida, A. (2013). On the Relative Importance of Linear Model and Human Judge(s) in Combined Forecasting. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 120(1).
  • Eisingerich, A., Rubera, G., Seifert, M. & Bhardwaj, G. (2011). Doing Good and Doing Better despite Negative Information? The Role of Corporate Social Responsibility in Consumer Resistance to Negative Information, Journal of Service Research, 14(1).
  • Eisingerich, A. & Seifert, M. (2009). The Benefits of Commitment, MIT Sloan Management Review, 51(1).
  • Seifert, M. & Hadida, A. (2009). Decision Making, Expertise and Task Ambiguity: Predicting Success in the Music Industry. In Solomon, G. (ed.) Best Paper Proceedings of the 2009 Academy of Management Meeting, 7-11 August, Chicago, IL. Briarcliff Manor, NY: Academy of Management.
  • Eisingerich A., Rubera, G. & Seifert, M. (2009). Managing Service Innovation and Inter-organizational Relationships for Firm Performance: To Commit or Diversify?, Journal of Service Research, 11(4).
  • Seifert, M. & Hadida, A. (2006). Facilitating Talent Selection Decisions in the Music Industry, Management Decision, (6).
  • Federspiel, F., Montibeller, G. & Seifert, M. (eds.) (2023). Behavioral Decision Analysis, International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer Nature (expected book release: November 2023).
  • Seifert, M. (ed) (2023). Judgment in Predictive Analytics, International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer Nature.
  • “Strategic Decisions in High Velocity Contexts”, with Allègre Hadida, in Wankel, C. (Ed.) Handbook of 21th CenturyManagement, SAGE: Thousand Oaks, 2008.
  • “Techniques in Decision Analysis- The Need for Structuring Complex Decisions” (in German), chapter 7 in Zerres andZerres “Marketing Techniques”, Rainer Hampp Publisher, Munich, 2005.

Other publications (non refereed)

Other authored publications:
  • “DA around the World: 2015 MCDM Meeting Round up”, Decision Analysis Today, August 2015.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis at the University of Konstanz”, Decision Analysis Today, June 2015.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in the Netherlands”, Decision Analysis Today, December 2014.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis at Catalyze Ltd”, Decision Analysis Today, August 2014.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in Turkey and Sweden”, Decision Analysis Today, April 2014.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in Turkey and Sweden”, Decision Analysis Today, April 2014.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in Brazil”, Decision Analysis Today, December 2013.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in Taiwan”, Decision Analysis Today, August 2013.
  • “DA around the World: How international is DAS?”, Decision Analysis Today, April 2013.
  • “DA around the World: The Society of Medical Decision Making”, Decision Analysis Today, August 2012.
  • “DA around the World: Decision Analysis in Spain”, Decision Analysis Today, April 2012.
  • “Intuition in Combined Model-Manager Forecasts: Evidence from the Music Industry”, Conference Proceedings of theInternational Institute of Forecasters, 2010.
  • “Individual and Collective Intuition in Judgmental Forecasting”, Conference Proceedings of the International Institute ofForecasters, 2008.
  • “Using Decision Sciences for Building Corporate Reputation”, with Ioanna Boulouta and Tony Holden, ConferenceProceedings of the Decision Sciences Institute, 2005.
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